<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
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<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Tropical Weather Outlook
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">800 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018
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<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
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<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Tropical Storm Isaac, located over the central tropical Atlantic.
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<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. A large area of disturbed weather over the extreme northwestern
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Caribbean Sea and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico is an associated
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">with a surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Although
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">this activity is showing signs of organization, there are no signs
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">of a surface circulation. Limited development is anticipated
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">today, but upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive,
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">and a tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">disturbance moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Interests
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">across northeastern Mexico and the coasts of Texas and Louisiana
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over western
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Cuba and portions of the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula today.
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">2. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Forecaster Avila