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| Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/31/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/30/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/29/2016 | Normal | | NOAA Weather | 08/28/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/28/2016 | Normal | | NOAA Tropical Weather Outlook | 08/27/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/27/2016 | Normal | | Gulf of Mexico Tropical Weather Update | 08/26/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/26/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/25/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/24/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/23/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/22/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/21/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/20/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/19/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/18/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/17/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/16/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/15/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/14/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/12/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/11/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/10/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/09/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/08/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/07/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/06/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/05/2016 | Normal | | FW: Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/04/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/03/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/02/2016 | Normal | | Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update | 08/01/2016 | Normal | | NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK | 08/01/2016 | Normal |
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Subject: | NOAA Tropical Storm Barry | Date: | Thursday, July 11, 2019 | Priority: | Normal | Notice: |
000
WTNT42 KNHC 111453
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Barry Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022019
1000 AM CDT Thu Jul 11 2019
The low pressure area over the northern Gulf of Mexico has become
better organized during the past several hours, with a large
convective band in the southern semicircle. The circulation
center has also become better defined, although it is still
elongated and multiple cloud swirls are seen rotating around the
mean center. In addition, Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft report flight-level and SFMR winds high enough for
an initial intensity of 35 kt. Based on these developments, the
system is upgraded to Tropical Storm Barry.
The initial motion is a rather uncertain 270/4. Barry is being
steered by a weak low- to mid-level ridge to the north, and a
weakness in the ridge is forecast to develop during the next
24-48 h. This should allow the cyclone to turn northwestward and
eventually northward. However, there is a large spread in the track
guidance. The HWRF and HMON forecast Barry to move almost due
north from its current position with a landfall in Mississippi,
while the UKMET takes the cyclone to the upper Texas coast. The
GFS, ECMWF, and Canadian models lie between these extremes.
Overall, there has been a slight eastward shift of the guidance
envelope, so the new forecast track is also adjusted slightly to
the east. It should be noted, though, that the new track is west
of the consensus models.
Barry is being affected by northerly shear, and water vapor imagery
indicates mid- to upper-level dry air moving into the cyclone from
the northeast. Some moderate shear is now expected to persist until
the cyclone makes landfall. Despite this less than ideal
environment, the guidance forecasts slow but steady intensification,
so the NHC forecast follows this trend. The new intensity forecast
is similar to the previous one in calling for Barry to become a
hurricane just before landfall in Louisiana, and it lies between the
HCCA and ICON consensus models.
Key Messages:
1. Barry is expected to bring storm surge, rainfall, and wind
hazards to the central Gulf Coast during the next several days.
2. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
along the coast of southern and southeastern Louisiana where a Storm
Surge Warning has been issued. The highest storm surge inundation is
expected between the Mouth of the Atchafalaya River and Shell Beach.
Residents in these areas should listen to any advice given by local
officials.
3. A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
much of the Louisiana coast and additional watches and warnings
could be required later today. Residents in these areas should
ensure they have their hurricane plan in place.
4. The slow movement of this system will result in a long duration
heavy rainfall threat along the central Gulf Coast and inland
through the lower Mississippi Valley through the weekend and
potentially into early next week. Flash flooding and river flooding
will become increasingly likely, some of which may be significant,
especially along and east of the track of the system.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 11/1500Z 27.8N 88.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 12/0000Z 27.8N 89.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 12/1200Z 28.1N 90.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 13/0000Z 28.6N 90.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 13/1200Z 29.4N 91.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 14/1200Z 32.0N 91.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 15/1200Z 34.5N 91.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 16/1200Z 37.0N 89.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
$$
Forecaster Beven
Tropical Weather Outlook Text<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">
Tropical Weather Discussion<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Tropical Weather Outlook
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">200 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Storm Barry, located about 100 miles south-southeast of the mouth
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">of the Mississippi River.
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. Showers associated with a tropical wave located several hundred
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remain disorganized. Some
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">slight development of the wave is possible during the next day or
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">two while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph before environmental
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">conditions become less favorable over the weekend.
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Forecaster Zelinsky/Ramos
| Notice posted on Thursday, July 11, 2019 | | Disclaimer For quality assurance purposes please note well that while the above information is regularly vetted for accuracy it is not intended to replace the local knowledge or expertise pertaining to port conditions of our marine operations personnel. Port précis should always be verified by contacting the corresponding marine department of a particular location for the most up-to-date information.
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