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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
945 AM EDT Fri Oct 25 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Special outlook issued to update discussion of systems in the Gulf
of Mexico and southwest of the Azores.
1. Updated: Visible satellite imagery and surface observations indicate
that a tropical cyclone is forming in the western Gulf of Mexico,
and advisories will be initiated on this system later this morning.
The system is forecast to merge with a cold front and become post-
tropical tonight over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Gale-force
winds are expected behind the cold front over the western Gulf of
Mexico today and Saturday. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
2. Updated: Recent satellite derived winds indicate that the small
non-tropical low centered a few hundred miles southwest of the
western Azores is producing tropical-storm-force winds near the
center. The thunderstorm activity is becoming better organized and
if this trend continues a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form
later today. The low is forecast to move toward the east-northeast
for the next day or so and interests in the Azores should monitor
the progress of this system. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Forecaster Avila
National Weather Service
NWS Marine Forecast
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">GMZ001-252000- Synopsis for the Gulf of Mexico
400 AM EDT Fri Oct 25 2019<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
.SYNOPSIS...<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">A strong cold front will reach the Texas coast this morning, and push
rapidly southward into the SW Gulf later today. Northerly gale force winds are expected W of the front through tonight. A low pressure area centered near 24N95W is producing widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms. Some further development is possible
today as the low moves north ahead of the front, and it may become a tropical depression before merging with the cold front overnight. Winds and seas will diminish rapidly across the western Gulf on Saturday as the front weakens.
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">$$
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">GMZ017-252000-
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">W Central Gulf from 22N to 26N W of 94W-
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400 AM EDT Fri Oct 25 2019<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:red">
GALE WARNING<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
TODAY<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> W of 96W, NW to N winds 30 to 40 kt. Elsewhere, S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt,
becoming NW to N 25 to 35 kt late. Seas 6 to 8 ft, building to 10 to 15 ft late. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
TONIGHT<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> NW to N winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
SAT<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> NW to N winds 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
SAT NIGHT<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft late.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
SUN<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
SUN NIGHT<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
MON<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> E to SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
MON NIGHT<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
TUE<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
<span-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:maroon">
TUE NIGHT<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">$$