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TROPICAL WAVE MOVING FROM EAST OF YUCATAN PENNINSULA AND MOVING NORTH WEST

<span-size:16.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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Archived Outlooks

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Eastern North Pacific

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<span-size:13.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Atlantic

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<span-size:8.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#666666">This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30, with special outlooks issued at any time as conditions warrant. The graphic displays all currently active tropical cyclones, and disturbances with tropical cyclone formation potential over the next 48 hours. Mousing over the symbol for each weather system displays details for that system; clicking on disturbance symbols or numbers toggles a zoomed view on or off. For additional NHC products on active tropical cyclones, click on the tropical cyclone symbols.

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Tropical Weather Outlook Text<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Tropical Weather Discussion

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Tropical Weather Outlook

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">200 PM EDT Sat Jun 17 2017

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">1. A tropical wave located about 1400 miles east-southeast of the

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">southern Windward Islands is producing scattered showers and

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">thunderstorms.  This disturbance has changed little in organization

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">since yesterday.  However, some development is expected during the

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">next two to three days before conditions become less favorable for

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">tropical cyclone formation.  This system is forecast to move toward

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Atlantic toward the Windward Islands and northeastern South America

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">during the next several days.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">2. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that a broad low

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">pressure area has formed over the Gulf of Honduras, and the

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">associated shower activity is showing signs of organization.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Continued gradual development is expected as the system moves slowly

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula during the remainder of

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">the weekend, and a tropical cyclone is likely to form early next

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">week over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico.  Regardless of

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">development, heavy rains are likely to spread over portions of

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands,

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">and western Cuba during the next several days.  An Air Force Reserve

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Sunday, if necessary.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Forecaster Beven