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Notices

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 Port Updates
SubjectDatePriority
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/30/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/29/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/28/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/27/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/26/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/25/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/24/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/23/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/22/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/21/2019 Normal
NOAA // Hurricane Jerry and other Tropical Wave09/21/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/20/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/19/2019 Normal
NOAA // Tropical Weather Outlook 09/18/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/18/2019 Normal
NOAA // TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMELDA 09/17/2019 Normal
NOAA // Tropical Weather Outlook // TS IMELDA 09/17/2019 Normal
Tropical Storm Imelda- NWS Houston/Galveston - 3PM Webinar Briefing09/17/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/17/2019 Normal
NOAA // Tropical Weather Outlook09/17/2019 Normal
NOAA // TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK09/16/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Storm Outlook 09/16/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/16/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/15/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather 09/15/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Outlook 09/14/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/14/2019 Normal
NOAA // Potential Tropical Cyclones and Disturbances 09/13/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/13/2019 Normal
NOAA // Tropical Weather Outlook 09/12/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/12/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/11/2019 Normal
NOAA // TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK 09/11/2019 Normal
NOAA // Tropical Disturbance # 1 09/10/2019 Normal
NOAA // Tropical Weather 09/10/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/10/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Outlook 09/09/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/09/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Disturbances 09/08/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/08/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/07/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/06/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Updates / Hurricane Dorian // Tropical Storm Fernand // Tropical Storm Gabrielle // TD # 109/04/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/04/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Updates / Hurricane Dorian // Tropical Storm Fernand // TD # 1 // TD # 8 09/04/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Updates / Hurricane Dorian // Tropical Disturbance # 1 // TD # 2 // TD # 3 // TD # 409/03/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/03/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Updates / Hurricane Dorian // Tropical Disturbance # 1 // TD # 2 // TD # 3 // TD # 409/02/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Updates / Hurricane Dorian // Tropical Disturbance # 1 // TD # 2 // TD # 3 // TD # 409/02/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/02/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather Updates / Hurricane Dorian // Tropical Disturbance # 1 // TD # 2 // TD # 3 09/02/2019 Normal
NOAA Hurricane and Tropical Disturbances Update09/01/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 09/01/2019 Normal

 Daily Port Update
Subject:NOAA // Potential Tropical Cyclones and Disturbances
Date:Friday, September 13, 2019
Priority:Normal
Notice:

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">000

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">WTNT44 KNHC 130858

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">TCDAT4

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Discussion Number   3

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092019

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">500 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2019

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">tropical disturbance is currently comprised of a trough elongated

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">from west-southwest to east-northeast, with a vorticity center near

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">a loosely curved convective band at the eastern end of the trough.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">While the system has become a little better organized since the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">last advisory, it does not yet have a well-defined circulation

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">center.  The initial intensity remains 25 kt based on satellite

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">intensity estimates and earlier scatterometer data.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The disturbance is now moving a little faster, with the initial

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">motion of 315/5.  The system is to the south of a low- to mid-level

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">ridge over the southeastern United States, and it is to the east of

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">a mid- to upper-level low over the central Gulf of Mexico.  The

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">large-scale models forecast the ridge to shift eastward into the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Atlantic during the next 24-48 h, with a weakness developing near

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">the southeastern coast of the United States and the east coast of

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">the Florida peninsula.  The track guidance indicates that the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">disturbance will move generally northwestward for 48 h or so,

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">followed by a turn to the north and eventually to the northeast as

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">the system moves through the weakness in the ridge.  There is some

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">spread in the guidance, with the GFS model taking a weaker system

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">into the Florida peninsula while the UKMET and ECMWF models show a

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">stronger cyclone farther offshore.  Overall, there has been an

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">eastward shift of the guidance since the previous advisory,

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">especially after 72 h.  The new forecast track is thus also nudged

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">a little to the east and now calls for the system to spend less

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">time over the Florida peninsula than previously forecast.  The new

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">forecast track is to the left of the center of the guidance

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">envelope and the consensus models, and additional adjustments may

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">be necessary once the circulation center becomes better defined.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The disturbance is currently in an environment of moderate

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">southwesterly shear and upper-level divergence caused by the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">upper-level low and a shortwave trough extending from the low

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">eastward to the southeastern Bahamas. The shear should gradually

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">diminish during the next couple of days, which should allow the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">disturbance to develop into a tropical cyclone and intensify.  The

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">large-scale models forecast the shear to increase after 72 h as a

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">mid-latitude westerly trough moves through the southeastern United

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">States and approaches the system.  The new intensity forecast is

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">similar to the previous forecast through 72 h, then it is stronger

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">than the previous forecast due to the forecast track keeping the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">system more over water.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Key Messages:

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. The system is expected to become a tropical storm and bring

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rainfall to portions of the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">northwestern Bahamas today and Saturday.  Significant storm surge is

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">not expected in the northwest Bahamas from this system.  Residents

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">there should follow any advice given by local officials.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">2. The system could bring tropical-storm-force winds to portions of

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">the Florida east coast over the weekend.  Residents there should

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">monitor the progress of this system and follow any advice given by

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">local officials.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">3. Heavy rainfall is possible from Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">across portions of eastern Florida into this weekend, which could

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">produce flash flooding.  There is greater uncertainty than usual in

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">heavy rainfall prospects farther north across the Carolinas.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">4. Note that forecast uncertainty for these disturbances is

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">generally larger than for tropical cyclones, especially beyond 48-72

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">hours.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">INIT  13/0900Z 24.6N  75.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">12H  13/1800Z 25.1N  76.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...TROPICAL DEPRESSION

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">24H  14/0600Z 26.0N  77.8W   35 KT  40 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">36H  14/1800Z 27.0N  79.3W   40 KT  45 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">48H  15/0600Z 28.2N  80.4W   45 KT  50 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">72H  16/0600Z 30.3N  81.1W   50 KT  60 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">96H  17/0600Z 31.0N  80.5W   50 KT  60 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">120H  18/0600Z 32.0N  78.5W   55 KT  65 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">$$

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Forecaster Beven

Notice posted on Friday, September 13, 2019

Disclaimer
For quality assurance purposes please note well that while the above information is regularly vetted for accuracy it is not intended to replace the local knowledge or expertise pertaining to port conditions of our marine operations personnel. Port précis should always be verified by contacting the corresponding marine department of a particular location for the most up-to-date information.