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Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019

 

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

 

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane

Humberto, located more than 700 miles west-southwest of Bermuda.

 

1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association

with a small low pressure system located over the central tropical

Atlantic.  Satellite data also indicate that the low has become

better defined, and environmental conditions are expected to be

conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next

couple of days while the system moves slowly northwestward to

west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

 

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of

Mexico are associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface

trough.  Little, if any, development of this system is expected

before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast tonight or

Tuesday.  Regardless of development, this system is expected to

produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the central and

upper Texas coastal areas later this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

 

Forecaster Stewart

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