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SubjectDatePriority
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/31/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/30/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/29/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/28/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/27/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/26/2019 Normal
NOAA / National Weather Service Tropical Weather - Western Gulf of Mexico // Tropical Cyclone is Forming 10/25/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/25/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Weather // Southwest Gulf of Mexico 10/25/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/24/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/23/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/22/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/21/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/20/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/19/2019 Normal
NOAA Tropical Storm Nestor 10/18/2019 Normal
NOAA // Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen10/18/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/18/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/17/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/16/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/15/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/14/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/13/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/12/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/11/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/10/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/09/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/08/2019 Normal
FW: Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/07/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/06/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/04/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/03/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/02/2019 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 10/01/2019 Normal

 Daily Port Update

Subject:NOAA Tropical Storm Nestor
Date:Friday, October 18, 2019
Priority:Normal
Notice:

<span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">U.S. Rainfall QPF (from WPC)

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">000

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">WTNT41 KNHC 190235

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">TCDAT1

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Tropical Storm Nestor Discussion Number   7

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL162019

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The Air Force and NOAA Hurricane Hunters are investigating Nestor

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">this evening, and they have found that the minimum pressure

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">has dropped to 996 mb, 3 mb lower than this afternoon, but they have

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">not found higher winds yet.  Based on preliminary data from both

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">aircraft, the initial wind speed remains 50 kt.  The Air Force also

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">reported that there is a lot of lightning occurring in the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">thunderstorms on Nestor's east side.  Nestor remains a lopsided

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">tropical storm, with very intense deep convection extending well to

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">the east of the center with only small areas of convection near and

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">to the west of the center.  This asymmetric cloud pattern is due to

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">strong westerly wind shear associated with a nearby shortwave

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">trough.  Doppler radar imagery indicates that rain bands are now

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">spreading inland over much of the eastern portions of the Gulf

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">coast, and surface observations show the winds increasing near the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">coast, but they are still not quite at tropical storm strength.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Water vapor satellite images show that the shortwave trough is

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">almost co-located with Nestor, which is likely part of the reason

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">why the minimum pressure has fallen.  Even though it is not

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">explicitly reflected in the forecast, Nestor could strengthen a

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">little before the storm makes landfall.  However, significant

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">intensification seems unlikely as the shortwave trough is expected

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">to bypass the cyclone soon, leaving the storm in a less favorable

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">environment of upper-level confluence and drier air. After landfall,

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">weakening is forecast and the models suggest that Nestor should lose

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">its tropical characteristics on Saturday when it tracks across the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">southeast U.S.  The weaker extratropical cyclone is expected to

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">dissipate or merge with a cold front in about 4 days.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The tropical storm is moving quickly northeastward at about 20 kt.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The models are in good agreement that this general motion should

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">continue for the next couple of days, taking the center of the storm

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">inland over the Florida Panhandle on Saturday morning and across

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">portions of Georgia and the Carolinas later Saturday and Sunday.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">The weakening system is expected to slow down and turn eastward over

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">the western Atlantic early next week before it merges with a cold

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">front.  The NHC track forecast is nudged to the west of the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">previous one to be in better agreement with the latest consensus

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">models.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Given the structure of Nestor, dangerous storm surge and

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">tropical-storm-force winds will occur along a large portion of the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Florida Gulf Coast well east of the track of Nestor's center

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">through Saturday.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Key Messages:

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation of

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">up to 5 feet above ground level along the Florida Gulf Coast from

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach, where a Storm Surge Warning is in

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">effect. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">officials.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">2. Tropical storm force winds are spreading across portions of the

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Florida Gulf Coast, where tropical storm warnings are in effect.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Regardless of the exact track and intensity of the system, these

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">winds will cover a large area, especially east of the center.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">3. Isolated flash flooding is possible along the central and eastern

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Gulf Coast and Southeast United States coast into early Sunday

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">morning.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">4. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">offices, since the system is expected to lose its tropical

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast.

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">INIT  19/0300Z 28.5N  87.0W   50 KT  60 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">12H  19/1200Z 30.2N  85.2W   50 KT  60 MPH

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">24H  20/0000Z 32.7N  82.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">36H  20/1200Z 34.9N  78.2W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">48H  21/0000Z 36.5N  73.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">72H  22/0000Z 37.5N  67.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">96H  23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black"> 

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">$$

<span-size:10.5pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Forecaster Cangialosi

Notice posted on Friday, October 18, 2019

Disclaimer
For quality assurance purposes please note well that while the above information is regularly vetted for accuracy it is not intended to replace the local knowledge or expertise pertaining to port conditions of our marine operations personnel. Port précis should always be verified by contacting the corresponding marine department of a particular location for the most up-to-date information.