Freeport

NOAA Hurricane //  Tropical Storm Cristobal

<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">000 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">AXNT20 KNHC 022234 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TWDAT <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">634 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">2230 UTC. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...SPECIAL FEATURES... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal is centered near 19.1N 92.5W at 02/2100 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">UTC or 120 nm WSW of Campeche Mexico moving S at 3 kt. Estimated <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Numerous moderate scattered strong <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">convection is within 270 nm of the center in the east semicircle <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and 180 nm west semicircle, including the Yucatan Peninsula and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">portions of southern Mexico. Cristobal is forecast to meander over <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the southern Bay of Campeche through Wednesday. Additional heavy <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">rainfall is expected over southern Mexico and northern Central <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, potentially leading to life- threatening flash floods and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">mudslides during the next few days. See the latest NHC forecast <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">advisory at hurricanes.gov for more information. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal is part of a larger Central American <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gyre circulation that has been bringing heavy rainfall and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">severe flooding to portions of Central America and southern <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Mexico during the past several days. Additional heavy rainfall <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">is expected through Saturday over portions of southern Mexico <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from the Yucatan Peninsula through Chiapas to eastern portions <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of Veracruz and Oaxaca. In Central America, portions of Belize, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Guatemala, El Salvador and southwestern Honduras are also <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">likely to receive additional heavy rainfall. The rains could <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">lead to additional life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">especially in areas of mountainous terrain. Please refer to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">products issued by your local or national meteorological <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">service for more details. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...TROPICAL WAVES... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The axis of a tropical wave is near 25N S of 18N, moving W at <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is seen <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 01N- 08N between 20W-24W, and from 05N-10N between 27W- 30W. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The axis of a tropical wave is near 49W S of 18N moving W at <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">10-15 kt. Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the wave axis. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Guinea near 10N14W <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to 08N18W. The ITCZ continues from 08N18W to 07N23W. It resumes <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 06N30W to 06N46W. Along the coast of Africa, scattered <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate to strong convection is seen from 02N- 12N, east of 18W. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 03N- 08N <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">between 30W- 44W. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">GULF OF MEXICO... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please see above for more on Tropical Storm Cristobal. Moist <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">cyclonic surface wind flow covers the central and northern Gulf <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of Mexico. Scattered showers and isolated tstorms cover most of <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the Gulf. Outside of winds associated with Cristobal, moderate to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">fresh winds prevail. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Broad cyclonic flow associated with the Central American Gyre <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will prevail over the Gulf of Mexico through the week. Tropical <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Storm Cristobal will move to near 18.8N 92.6W Wed morning, inland <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to near 18.4N 92.4W Wed afternoon, then continue inland and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">weaken to a tropical depression near 18.2N 91.8W on Thu morning <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and inland to near 18.5N 91.6W Thu afternoon. Cristobal is then <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">forecast to re- strengthen to a tropical storm near 19.1N 91.4W <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Fri morning, and track to near 20.4N 91.5W Fri afternoon. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal is forecast to increase slightly in intensity as it <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">tracks northwestward to inland the north-central Gulf late Sun. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">After Cristobal moves inland, moderate to fresh southerly flow <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will be present across most of the area through Sun night. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CARIBBEAN SEA... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is over the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">western Gulf of Honduras. This convection is stronger and more <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">widespread farther west, over the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate isolated strong convection is also seen over the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southwest Caribbean to the SW of a line from 09N77W to 15N83W and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">extending over land areas from NW Colombia to eastern Nicaragua. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Isolated showers and tstorms are seen over the Greater Antilles <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from Hispaniola to Cuba. Isolated tradewind showers prevail over <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the remainder of the Caribbean. Fresh to strong winds prevail over <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the Gulf of Honduras and the south central Caribbean. Moderate to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">fresh trades prevail elsewhere. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The Central American Gyre will persist over northern Central <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America and southern Mexico during the week leading to scattered <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">showers and tstorms over the NW Caribbean. Winds and seas will <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">increase in the Gulf of Honduras and off Yucatan through Sat as a <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">result. The Bermuda High will rebuild north of the basin today, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">which will lead to the development of fresh winds in the south- <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">central Caribbean through Sat, diminishing some on Sun. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ATLANTIC OCEAN... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A cold front extends from 32N52W to 26N62W to 26N78W. A surface <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">trough is from 25N60W to 21N63W. Scattered moderate convection is <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">within 210 nm E of the cold front and near the surface trough, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">mainly east of 65W and north of 23N. Moderate to fresh winds <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">prevail W and N of the front. The front will continue southward <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and stall along 23N by early this evening before dissipating <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">overnight tonight. High pressure building in the wake of the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">front will support moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N Wed <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">through Sat, mainly north of Hispaniola. These winds diminish <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">slightly on Sun. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Farther east, a 1022 mb high is near 29N46W. A cold front extends <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from near the Madeira Islands to 27N26W to 30N35W. Isolated <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">showers are near the fronts. Gentle to moderate tradewinds prevail <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">S of 20N. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$ <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">AL/Hagen