NOAA Hurricane // Tropical Storm Cristobal
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">634 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2020
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
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Based on
1800 UTC surface analysis and
satellite imagery through
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...SPECIAL FEATURES...
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal is centered near 19.1N 92.5W at 02/2100
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">UTC or 120 nm WSW of Campeche Mexico moving S at 3 kt. Estimated
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Numerous moderate scattered strong
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">convection is within 270 nm of the center in the east semicircle
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and 180 nm west semicircle, including the Yucatan Peninsula and
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">portions of southern Mexico. Cristobal is forecast to meander over
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the southern Bay of Campeche through Wednesday. Additional heavy
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">rainfall is expected over southern Mexico and northern Central
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, potentially leading to life- threatening flash floods and
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">mudslides during the next few days. See the latest NHC forecast
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">advisory at hurricanes.gov for more information.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO...
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal is part of a larger Central American
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gyre circulation that has been bringing heavy rainfall and
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">severe flooding to portions of Central America and southern
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Mexico during the past several days. Additional heavy rainfall
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">is expected through Saturday over portions of southern Mexico
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from the Yucatan Peninsula through Chiapas to eastern portions
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of Veracruz and Oaxaca. In Central America, portions of Belize,
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Guatemala, El Salvador and southwestern Honduras are also
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">likely to receive additional heavy rainfall. The rains could
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">lead to additional life-threatening flash floods and mudslides,
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">especially in areas of mountainous terrain. Please refer to
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">products issued by your local or national meteorological
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...TROPICAL WAVES...
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The axis of a tropical wave is near 25N S of 18N, moving W at
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is seen
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 01N- 08N between 20W-24W, and from 05N-10N between 27W- 30W.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The axis of a tropical wave is near 49W S of 18N moving W at
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">10-15 kt. Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the wave axis.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Guinea near 10N14W
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to 08N18W. The ITCZ continues from 08N18W to 07N23W. It resumes
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 06N30W to 06N46W. Along the coast of Africa, scattered
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate to strong convection is seen from 02N- 12N, east of 18W.
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 03N- 08N
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">GULF OF MEXICO...
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please see above for more on Tropical Storm Cristobal. Moist
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">cyclonic surface wind flow covers the central and northern Gulf
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of Mexico. Scattered showers and isolated tstorms cover most of
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the Gulf. Outside of winds associated with Cristobal, moderate to
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">fresh winds prevail.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Broad cyclonic flow associated with the Central American Gyre
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will prevail over the Gulf of Mexico through the week. Tropical
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Storm Cristobal will move to near 18.8N 92.6W Wed morning, inland
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to near 18.4N 92.4W Wed afternoon, then continue inland and
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">weaken to a tropical depression near 18.2N 91.8W on Thu morning
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and inland to near 18.5N 91.6W Thu afternoon. Cristobal is then
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">forecast to re- strengthen to a tropical storm near 19.1N 91.4W
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Fri morning, and track to near 20.4N 91.5W Fri afternoon.
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal is forecast to increase slightly in intensity as it
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">tracks northwestward to inland the north-central Gulf late Sun.
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">After Cristobal moves inland, moderate to fresh southerly flow
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will be present across most of the area through Sun night.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CARIBBEAN SEA...
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is over the
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">western Gulf of Honduras. This convection is stronger and more
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">widespread farther west, over the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate isolated strong convection is also seen over the
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southwest Caribbean to the SW of a line from 09N77W to 15N83W and
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">extending over land areas from NW Colombia to eastern Nicaragua.
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Isolated showers and tstorms are seen over the Greater Antilles
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from Hispaniola to Cuba. Isolated tradewind showers prevail over
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the remainder of the Caribbean. Fresh to strong winds prevail over
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the Gulf of Honduras and the south central Caribbean. Moderate to
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">fresh trades prevail elsewhere.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The Central American Gyre will persist over northern Central
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America and southern Mexico during the week leading to scattered
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">showers and tstorms over the NW Caribbean. Winds and seas will
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">increase in the Gulf of Honduras and off Yucatan through Sat as a
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">result. The Bermuda High will rebuild north of the basin today,
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">which will lead to the development of fresh winds in the south-
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">central Caribbean through Sat, diminishing some on Sun.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ATLANTIC OCEAN...
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A cold front extends from 32N52W to 26N62W to 26N78W. A surface
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">trough is from 25N60W to 21N63W. Scattered moderate convection is
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">within 210 nm E of the cold front and near the surface trough,
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">mainly east of 65W and north of 23N. Moderate to fresh winds
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">prevail W and N of the front. The front will continue southward
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and stall along 23N by early this evening before dissipating
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">overnight tonight. High pressure building in the wake of the
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">front will support moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N Wed
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">through Sat, mainly north of Hispaniola. These winds diminish
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">slightly on Sun.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Farther east, a 1022 mb high is near 29N46W. A cold front extends
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from near the Madeira Islands to 27N26W to 30N35W. Isolated
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">showers are near the fronts. Gentle to moderate tradewinds prevail
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">S of 20N. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere.
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<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$
<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">AL/Hagen