Freeport

NOAA Hurricane // Tropical Storm Cristobal 

<span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">000 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">AXNT20 KNHC 031038 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TWDAT <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">805 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">1030 UTC. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...SPECIAL FEATURES... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The center of Tropical Storm Cristobal is near 19.1N 92.3W at <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">03/0900 UTC. This position also is about 30 nm NNW of Ciudad del <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Carmen Mexico. Cristobal is moving southeastward at 3 knots. The <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb. The maximum <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">sustained wind speeds are 50 knots with gusts to 60 knots. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is within 240 nm of <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the center, including in the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate isolated strong is elsewhere from 22N southward between <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">90W and 95W. Movement: the storm is expected to move slowly <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southward or southeastward, as it remains within a larger <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">cyclonic gyre that is centered in eastern Mexico.  This motion <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">should bring the center onshore to the coast of Mexico, in the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico, later today. Cristobal is <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">forecast to continue to move very slowly toward the east or <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southeast through early Thursday. Increasing southerly flow <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">should allow the storm to begin moving northward in the central <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and northern Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. Additional heavy <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">rainfall is expected in southern Mexico and northern Central <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, potentially leading to life-threatening flash floods <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and mudslides during the next few days. Please read the latest <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NHC forecast advisory at hurricanes.gov for more information. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal is part of a larger Central American <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gyre circulation, that has been bringing heavy rainfall and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">severe flooding to parts of Central America and southern Mexico <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">during the last several days. Additional heavy rainfall is <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">expected through Saturday in parts of southern Mexico from the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Yucatan Peninsula through Chiapas to eastern sections of <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Veracruz and Oaxaca. For Central America: in parts of Belize, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Guatemala, El Salvador and southwestern Honduras: it is likely <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">that these areas also may receive additional heavy rainfall. It <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">is possible that the rainfall total for the entire event, from <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">tropical cyclones and the gyre circulation, may end up reaching <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">35 inches, nearly one meter. It is possible that the rains may <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">lead to additional life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">especially in areas of mountainous terrain. Please read <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">bulletins and forecasts that are issued by your local or <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">national meteorological service, for more details. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...TROPICAL WAVES... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 28W, from 18N <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate is on either side of the tropical wave, with either the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">monsoon trough or with the ITCZ. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 52W, from 17N <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southward, moving W 10 to 15 knots. Precipitation: isolated <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate is within 90 nm on either side of the tropical wave. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Sierra <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Leone near 08N13W, to 05N17W and 03N24W. The ITCZ is along 06N <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 30W to 47W. Precipitation: scattered moderate <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">isolated strong is within 220 nm to the north of the ITCZ between <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">42W and 45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 180 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">nm to the south of the monsoon trough, and within 180 nm to the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">north of the monsoon trough between 18W and 25W. Isolated <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate covers the rest of the area from the monsoon trough to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">10N from the 28W tropical wave eastward, and within 300 nm to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the north of the ITCZ. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">GULF OF MEXICO... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details about <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Broken to overcast multi-layered clouds, and widely scattered <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate to isolated strong rain showers cover the rest of the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, except within 210 nm of the coast of Texas. The <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">clouds and precipitation are related to moisture that is around <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the periphery of the circulation of T.S. Cristobal. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal near 18.9N 92.0W, maximum sustained <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Cristobal will move inland today, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">weaken to a tropical depression, re-intensify to a tropical <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">storm on Fri, then increase in intensity and move northward <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">through Sat night. After Cristobal moves inland, moderate to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">fresh southerly flow will be present across most of the area <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">through Sun night. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CARIBBEAN SEA... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details about the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">heavy rainfall situation for Central America. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Upper level anticyclonic wind flow is spinning away from the <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">area that is around T.S. CRISTOBAL, that is in the SW corner of <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the Gulf of Mexico. The upper level anticyclonic wind flow <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">covers the Caribbean Sea from 70W westward. Precipitation: <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">isolated moderate to locally strong is from 15N northward and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">70W westward, in the waters between Jamaica, Haiti, and Cuba; <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and from 15N northward from 82W westward. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the rest of the Caribbean <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Sea, from 70W eastward. The base of the upper level trough is <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">reaching eastern Venezuela. Precipitation: isolated moderate to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">locally strong is in the Mona Passage. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">One part of the monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia, <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">across the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea, beyond northern <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Nicaragua, to southern Belize. Precipitation: widely scattered <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moderate to isolated strong is to the south of a line that runs <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from the NE corner of Nicaragua to the coast of Colombia near <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">11N75W. Scattered moderate to strong is from 07N to 11N between <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">72W and 75W. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A broad area of low pressure, known as the Central American <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gyre, will persist in northern Central America and southern <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Mexico for several days. Expect widespread heavy rain showers <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and thunderstorms in the NW Caribbean Sea. Strong SE winds, and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">seas, are expected to continue in the Gulf of Honduras and east <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of Yucatan, through Saturday. Fresh trade winds are expected in <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the central Caribbean Sea through Saturday night. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ATLANTIC OCEAN... <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A western Atlantic Ocean cold front passes through 32N49W, to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">26N59W,  to the central Bahamas near Andros Island. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is within 270 <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">nm to the SSE of the cold front from 66W eastward. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An eastern Atlantic Ocean cold front passes through 32N16W, to <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">28N20W, 27N30W, to 31N37W. Precipitation: isolated moderate is <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">within 120 nm on either side of the cold front. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The western Atlantic Ocean cold front will drift southward and <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">stall this morning, then slowly dissipate through tonight. High <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">pressure north of the front will support moderate to fresh trade <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">winds, mainly north of Hispaniola, through Saturday. <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$ <span-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">mt/dbm