NOAA Hurricane /// Tropical Depression Cristobal
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">613 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
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Based on
0600 UTC surface analysis and
satellite imagery through
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...SPECIAL FEATURES...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The center of Tropical Depression Cristobal is near 18.8N 90.1W at
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">05/0900 UTC. This position is inland, about 80 nm/130 km SSE of
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Campeche, Mexico. Cristobal is moving NNE, 20 degrees, at 6 kt.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">winds are 30 knots with gusts to 40 knots. Precipitation:
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">numerous strong convection is noted within 180 nm of center in the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NE semicircle, from northern Belize across most of the Yucatan
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Peninsula. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">also located within 540 nm SE semicircle, including much of
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Guatemala, southern Belize, Honduras, the Cayman Islands, and the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">northwest Caribbean. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">also extends within 600 nm NE quadrant, including western Cuba and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">portions of the SE Gulf of Mexico. Damaging and deadly flooding
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will continue to occur over portions of Mexico and Central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America. Storm total rainfall amounts over southern Guatemala,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">coastal Chiapas, and El Salvador may reach 35 inches. Widespread
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">life threatening flooding and mudslides may persist into the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">weekend. Please read bulletins and forecasts that are issued by
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">your local or national meteorological service, for more details.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal is expected to emerge into the waters of the southern
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico late today, then move north through the central and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">northern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. The risk of tropical storm
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">force winds and dangerous storm surge from Louisiana to the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Florida Panhandle will exist well in advance of when Cristobal's
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">center approaches the U.S. Gulf Coast late Sunday. It is likely
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">that storm surge and tropical storm watches will be issued for a
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">part of the U.S.A. coast of the Gulf of Mexico later today.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Heavy rainfall will spread into parts of the U.S.A. coast of the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, from east Texas to Florida, from this weekend into
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">early next week, with areas of flash flooding possible.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please, read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/
MIAHSFAT2.shtml,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and the latest Cristobal NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov, for more details.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Depression Cristobal is part of a larger Central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">American Gyre (CAG) circulation. Heavy rainfall and severe
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">flooding have been impacting parts of Central America and southern
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Mexico all of this week. Abundant tropical moisture in a
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southwesterly wind flow will continue to impact SE Mexico and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">northern parts of Central America. Additional rainfall amounts of
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">8 to 12 inches are forecast over southern Guatemala and coastal
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Chiapas, with 4 to 8 inches expected in Campeche, Quintana Roo,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Yucatan, and El Salvador.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read bulletins and forecasts that are issued by your local
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">or national meteorological service, for more details.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...TROPICAL WAVES...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A weak tropical wave is along 29W, from 17N southward, moving W at
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">10 kt. Little convection is associated with this wave.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A tropical wave is along 39N, from 16N south, moving W at 10 kt.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Scattered moderate convection is located within 300 nm ahead of
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">this wave, S of 10N.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A tropical wave is along 59W, from 16N south, moving W at 10 kt.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted within
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">300 nm of either side of the wave axis S of 12N.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">near 10N14W, to 06N17W and 05N24W. The ITCZ is along 03N40W to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">05N46W to 08N50W to 09N54W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">thunderstorms are located along the ITCZ between 42W and 47W.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Scattered moderate showers are located between the equator and the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">monsoon trough from 10W to 20W.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">GULF OF MEXICO...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details about
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Depression Cristobal.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Elsewhere in the Gulf, scattered moderate showers exist over the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">eastern and northeastern Gulf, mainly within 210 nm offshore
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">coast of Florida. A surface ridge is along 28N80W in Florida,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">across the northern part of the Gulf of Mexico, into the upper
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Texas Gulf coast.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Depression Cristobal is inland near 18.8N 90.1W 1000 mb
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">at 5 AM EDT moving NNE at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">gusts 40 kt. Cristobal will remain inland and reach 20.1N 90.1W
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">this afternoon, move into the Gulf and strengthen to a tropical
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">storm near 22.0N 90.3W Sat morning, then reach 23.8N 90.4W Sat
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">afternoon, 25.7N 90.3W Sun morning, 27.6N 90.4W Sun afternoon, and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">inland to 29.6N 91.2W Mon morning. Cristobal will weaken to a
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">tropical depression while moving inland over Louisiana early Tue.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Once Cristobal moves inland, moderate to fresh southerly flow will
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">be present across most of the Gulf waters through Mon night.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CARIBBEAN SEA...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details about the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">heavy rainfall situation for Central America.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">One part of the monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">near 08N74W, across the SW corner of the Caribbean Sea, through
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">central Nicaragua, into central Honduras. Scattered showers and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">thunderstorms are located within about 180 nm offshore the coast
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of Central America
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Otherwise, high pressure is dominating the Caribbean with
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">scattered moderate showers across the basin moving quickly west in
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">fresh to strong trades.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A broad area of low pressure, known as the Central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">American Gyre, will persist over northern Central America and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southern Mexico for several days, producing widespread showers
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and thunderstorms in far NW Caribbean into the weekend. Strong to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">near gale force SE winds and building seas will continue in the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Honduras and east of Yucatan through Sat evening. Fresh
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to strong trade winds will continue in the central Caribbean
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">through Sat night.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ATLANTIC OCEAN...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A dissipating stationary front is located from 31N50W to 25N60W to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">27N65W. The few showers that were associated with this front have
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">diminished.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A weak surface trough from 32N20W to 25N35W is producing little in
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the way of precipitation this morning.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The stationary front will evolve into a surface trough today, and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">dissipate tonight. Abundant moisture pouring NE from the Central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">American Gyre and Tropical Depression Cristobal continue to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">portions of Florida and the NW Bahamas. These showers will persist
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to early next week as Cristobal moves towards the north- central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico. Otherwise, high pressure north of the front will
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">support fresh trade winds, mainly north of Hispaniola and Puerto
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Rico, through the weekend.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">KONARIK