<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">578
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">624 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
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Based on
0600 UTC surface analysis and
satellite imagery through
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">0900 UTC.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...SPECIAL FEATURES...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The center of Tropical Storm Cristobal is near 23.8N 90.2W at
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">06/0900 UTC. Cristobal is morning N, or 350 degrees, at 12 knots.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal is about 350 nm/600 km south of the mouth of the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Mississippi River. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">mb. The maximum sustained winds are 40 knots with gusts to 50
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">knots. A broad band of strong thunderstorms is located within 150
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">nm N of the center, as well as extending N to S along 87W from the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">north central Gulf, along the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and south along the coast of Belize. Across all of the NE Gulf and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">north central Gulf to the E of 91W, scattered moderate to isolated
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">strong convection exists. Scattered moderate convection is also
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ongoing across the NE Gulf and FL peninsula.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal should continue moving northward at a similar pace it is
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">remains between a western Atlantic ridge and western Gulf trough.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">This will bring Cristobal over the central Gulf today and
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">approach the northern Gulf coast Sunday while slowly
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">strengthening. Once Cristobal moves inland late Sunday, weakening
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will begin.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Damaging and deadly flooding has already been occurring over parts
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of Mexico and Central America in association with Cristobal. The
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">storm is likely to produce additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">inches in Quintana Roo and Yucatan, causing storm totals to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">approach 25 inches. It is possible that this rainfall may cause
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">widespread life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Please
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">read bulletins and forecasts that are issued by your local or
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">national meteorological service, for more details.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated amounts of up to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">12 inches are forecast across portions of the eastern and central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf Coast and Lower Mississippi Valley through early next week.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Flash flooding as well as flooding on streams and rivers may
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">result.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">There is a danger of life threatening storm surge from the Mouth
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, MS, where a Storm Surge
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Warning is in effect. Life threatening storm surge is also
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">possible from Morgan City, LA, to the mouth of the Mississippi
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">River and from Indian Pass to Arepika, FL, where Storm Surge
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Watches are in effect. Residents in these locations should follow
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">advice given by local emergency officials.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical storm force winds are expected by late tonight along the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">northern Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Florida Panhandle, including metropolitan New Orleans, and a
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for this area. These winds
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will arrive well in advance of and extend well to the east of
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristóbal’s center.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please, read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/
MIAHSFAT2.shtml, and the latest
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">www.hurricanes.gov, for more details.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO...
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A Central American Gyre remains in southern Mexico and northern
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Central America. The broad cyclonic circulation around the gyre
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">encompasses the discussion waters from 10N northward from 100W
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">eastward. The gyre is characterized by a northward displacement
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of the monsoon trough in Central America, and associated deep
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">convective precipitation usually is found to the south of the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">trough.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Expect additional heavy rainfall in parts of southeastern Mexico
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and northern Central America through tonight. The heaviest
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">additional rainfall is expected in the southeastern Mexican
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">provinces of Chiapas, Yucatan, and Quintana Roo, and in parts of
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Guatemala and Belize. It is possible that the rainfall may cause
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">widespread life- threatening flash floods and mudslides. Please
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">read bulletins and forecasts that are issued by your local or
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">national meteorological service, for more details.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...TROPICAL WAVES...
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 37W from 16N southward,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moving west 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection exists ahead
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of this wave to about 42W, mainly S of 09N.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 52W, from 18N southward,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moving west 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection exists from
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">08N to 12N between 50W and 55W in association with this wave.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, from 18N southward,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moving west 10 to 15 knots. No significant deep convective
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">precipitation is apparent with this tropical wave.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Guinea-
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Bissau near 11N15W, to 06N17W, and to 04N23W. The ITCZ continues
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 04N23W, to 04N32W. The ITCZ also is along 02N/03N between 36W
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and 46W. Precipitation: Numerous moderate to scattered strong
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">convection is from 05N to 09N between 10W and 15W and from 00N to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">05N between 20W and 25W. Scattered moderate convection exists
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">elsewhere from 0N to 10N between 15W and 55W.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">GULF OF MEXICO...
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal will move north through the central Gulf
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">through late Sunday, then move ashore in Louisiana. Thereafter,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">it will weaken and move away from the area. Once Cristobal moves
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">inland, wind and seas will gradually subside. Moderate to fresh
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southerly flow will be present across most of the north- central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf waters through late Tue.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CARIBBEAN SEA...
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">heavy rainfall event that is occurring in Central America.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A part of the monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia near
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">10N74W, into the SW Caribbean Sea, across Nicaragua from SE to NW,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">into southern Honduras. Precipitation: Scattered moderate
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">convection exists within 120 nm of the Panama and Costa Rica
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">coast.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Elsewhere in the Caribbean, high pressure is keeping mainly dry
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">conditions in place, with some scattered trade wind showers mainly
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">E of 70W.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The Central American Gyre will persist over northern Central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America and southern Mexico for several days, producing widespread
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">showers and thunderstorms in far NW Caribbean through the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">weekend. Strong to near gale force SE to S winds and seas of 10 to
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">15 ft in the NW Caribbean will gradually diminish into tonight.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Fresh to strong winds will prevail over the south central
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Caribbean through tonight. Otherwise, a pair of tropical waves
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will cross mainly the southern Caribbean through early next week,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">bringing a few additional showers and thunderstorms.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ATLANTIC OCEAN...
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the eastern Atlantic Ocean
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 20N northward from 30W eastward. A surface trough extends
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from a 1010 mb low pressure center that is near 33N20W, through
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">30N19W, to 24N23W. Precipitation: rain showers are possible from
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">20N northward from 33W eastward.
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Abundant tropical moisture spreading NE from the NW
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Caribbean and Tropical Storm Cristobal will continue to support
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">scattered showers and thunderstorms near Florida and to the north
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">of the Bahamas through the weekend. Early next week, a weak cold
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">front will approach northern waters before stalling. Otherwise,
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">high pressure will support fresh trade winds, highest to the
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">north of Hispaniola this weekend.
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<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$
<span-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">KONARIK