Freeport

NOAA Hurricane  // Tropical Storm Cristobal

<span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">670 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">AXNT20 KNHC 061704 CCA <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TWDAT <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">103 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2020 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">1220 UTC. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...SPECIAL FEATURES... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The center of Tropical Storm Cristobal is near 23.9N 90.2W at <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">06/1200 UTC. Cristobal is morning N, or 360 degrees, at 12 knots. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal is about 365 nm south of the mouth of the Mississippi <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">River. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb. The <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">maximum sustained winds are 45 knots with gusts to 55 knots. A <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">broad band of strong thunderstorms is located within 360 nm E of <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the center, as well as extending N to S along 87W from the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">north central Gulf to the Yucatan Channel. Across all of the NE <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf and north central Gulf to the E of 88W, scattered moderate <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to isolated strong convection exists. Scattered moderate <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">convection is also ongoing across the NE Gulf and FL peninsula. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal should continue moving northward at a similar pace as <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">it remains between a western Atlantic ridge and western Gulf <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">trough. This will bring Cristobal over the central Gulf today and <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">approach the northern Gulf coast Sunday while slowly <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">strengthening. Once Cristobal moves inland late Sunday, weakening <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will begin. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Damaging and deadly flooding has already been occurring over <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">parts of Mexico and Central America in association with <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Cristobal. The storm is likely to produce additional rainfall <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">amounts of 1 to 3 inches in Quintana Roo and Yucatan, causing <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">storm totals to approach 25 inches. It is possible that this <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">rainfall may cause widespread life-threatening flash floods and <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">mudslides. Please read bulletins and forecasts that are issued by <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">your local or national meteorological service, for more details. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with isolated amounts of up to <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">12 inches, are forecast across portions of the eastern and <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">central Gulf Coast and Lower Mississippi Valley through early <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">next week. Flash flooding as well as flooding on streams and <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">rivers may result. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please, read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and the latest Cristobal NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov, for more details. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A Central American Gyre remains in southern Mexico and northern <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Central America. The broad cyclonic circulation around the gyre <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">is characterized by a northward displacement of the monsoon <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">trough in Central America, and associated deep convective <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">precipitation usually is found to the south of the trough. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Expect additional heavy rainfall in parts of southeastern Mexico <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and northern Central America through tonight. The heaviest <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">additional rainfall is expected in the southeastern Mexican <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">provinces of Chiapas, Yucatan, and Quintana Roo, and in parts of <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Guatemala and Belize. It is possible that the rainfall may cause <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">widespread life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Please <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">read bulletins and forecasts that are issued by your local or <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">national meteorological service, for more details. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...TROPICAL WAVES... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 36W from 16N southward, <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moving west 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection exists on <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">either side of the tropical wave to about 180 nm. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 53W, from 18N southward, <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moving west 15 knots. Scattered moderate convection exists about <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">200 nm in the vicinity of this wave. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 65W, from 17N southward, <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">moving west 10 to 15 knots. No significant deep convection is <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">apparent with this tropical wave. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Sierra <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Leone near 08N13W to 05N40W. The ITCZ continues from 05N40W to <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">00N49W. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is from <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">02N to 08N between 12W and 26W. Scattered showers exists <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">elsewhere along the ITCZ from 01N to 05N between 40W and 50W. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">GULF OF MEXICO... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Cristobal will move north through the central Gulf <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">through late Sunday, then move ashore in Louisiana. Thereafter, <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">it will weaken and move away from the area. Once Cristobal moves <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">inland, wind and seas will gradually subside. Moderate to fresh <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southerly flow will be present across most of the north-central <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gulf waters through late Tue. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CARIBBEAN SEA... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Please read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">heavy rainfall event that is occurring in Central America. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The tail end of Tropical Storm Cristobal extends into the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Yucatan Channel in the NW Caribbean Sea. Scattered moderate to <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">strong convection extends from 18N86W to 23N85W. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A part of the monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia near <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">09N75W, into the SW Caribbean Sea, across Nicaragua from SE to <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NW. Scattered moderate convection exists within 100 nm of the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Panama and Nicaragua coast. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Elsewhere in the Caribbean, high pressure is keeping mainly dry <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">conditions in place, with some scattered tradewind showers mainly <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">w of 70W. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The Central American Gyre will persist over northern Central <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">America and southern Mexico for several days, producing <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">widespread showers and thunderstorms in far NW Caribbean through <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Sunday. Strong to near gale force SE to S winds and seas of 10 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">to 15 ft in the NW Caribbean will gradually diminish into <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">tonight. Fresh to strong winds will prevail over the south- <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">central Caribbean through tonight. Otherwise, a pair of tropical <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">waves will cross mainly the southern Caribbean through early next <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">week, bringing a few additional showers and thunderstorms. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ATLANTIC OCEAN... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Upper level cyclonic wind flow covers the eastern Atlantic Ocean <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 20N northward from 30W eastward. A surface trough extends <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">from 29N53W to 23N57W. Scattered showers are observed in the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">vicinity of the trough. A second trough is also noted to the west <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">near 29N63W to 24N66W with scattered showers extending about 100 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">nm on either side of the trough. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Abundant tropical moisture spreading NE from the NW Caribbean <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and Tropical Storm Cristobal will continue to support scattered <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">showers and thunderstorms near Florida and to the north of the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Bahamas through the weekend. Early next week, a weak cold front <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">will approach the northern waters before stalling and dissipating <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">by the middle of the week. Otherwise, high pressure will support <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">fresh trade winds, highest to the north of Hispaniola this <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">weekend. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$ <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MMT