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TROPICAL STORM HANNA

Underground Weather

963

WTNT43 KNHC 242059

TCDAT3

 

Tropical Storm Hanna Discussion Number   8

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL082020

400 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2020

 

Satellite imagery, along with Doppler radar data from Houston and

Corpus Christi, indicate that Hanna has been getting better

organized over the past several hours. Curved banding features have

improved and a banding eye has developed in the radar data. The NOAA

reconnaissance aircraft reported SFMR winds of 43-45 kt on its last

outbound leg and a ship D5DE5 just east of the center reported an

elevated wind speed of 51 kt at 1400Z. Based on these data, along

with an estimated pressure of 999 mb from surrounding oil rigs, the

initial intensity has been conservatively increased to 45 kt.

 

Reconnaissance and radar fix data indicate that Hanna has turned

westward, and the motion is now 275/09 kt. Hanna is forecast to move

generally westward along the southern periphery of a deep-layer

ridge for the next 24 hours, with landfall expected along the

south-central coast of Texas within the hurricane warning area

Saturday afternoon or early evening. The new NHC forecast track is

just an extension of the previous advisory track, and lies close to

an average of the consensus models TVCN, NOAA-HCCA, and FSSE.

 

Given the improved internal structure noted in radar imagery, along

with SSTs of at least 30 deg C and an impressive outflow pattern,

increased frictional convergence as the cyclone moves closer to the

coast and the approaching nocturnal convective maximum should

support additional strengthening, and Hanna is now forecast

to become a hurricane prior to making landfall. The NHC forecast of

65 kt in 24 hours is between the latest HWRF model run, which

brings Hanna to 70 kt just prior to landfall, and the intensity

consensus models HCCA and IVCN, which are just below hurricane

strength.

 

Due to Hanna forecast to reach hurricane strength, Hurricane and

Storm Surge Warnings have been issued for portions of the Texas

coast.

 

Key Messages

 

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge along the Texas

coast from Baffin Bay to Sargent, where a Storm Surge Warning is in

effect. Residents in these locations should follow advice given by

local emergency officials.

 

2. Hurricane conditions are expected along the Texas coast from

Baffin Bay to Mesquite Bay, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect.

Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast

within the warning area Saturday morning.

 

3. Hanna is expected to produce heavy rains across portions of

southern Texas and northeastern Mexico.  These rains could result in

life-threatening flash flooding and isolated minor to moderate river

flooding.

 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

 

INIT  24/2100Z 27.3N  94.3W   45 KT  50 MPH

12H  25/0600Z 27.4N  95.6W   55 KT  65 MPH

24H  25/1800Z 27.3N  97.2W   65 KT  75 MPH

36H  26/0600Z 27.0N  98.6W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND

48H  26/1800Z 26.6N 100.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND

60H  27/0600Z 25.6N 102.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...INLAND

72H  27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

 

$$

Forecaster Stewart

<span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black"> <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">048 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WTNT23 KNHC 242050 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TCMAT3 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082020 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">2100 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY NORTHWARD TO <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MESQUITE BAY TEXAS. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TO SARGENT, <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TEXAS, INCLUDING CORPUS CHRISTI BAY...COPANO BAY...ARANSAS BAY... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">SAN ANTONIO BAY AND MATAGORDA BAY. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* BAFFIN BAY TO SARGENT TEXAS <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* BAFFIN BAY TO MESQUITE BAY TEXAS <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* MESQUITE BAY TO SAN LUIS PASS TEXAS <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">INUNDATION, FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE, <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TO COMPLETION. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">THE NEXT 24 HOURS. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS SHOULD <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  94.3W AT 24/2100Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  94.3W AT 24/2100Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  93.8W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.4N  95.6W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  30NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 27.3N  97.2W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.0N  98.6W...INLAND <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.6N 100.3W...INLAND <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 25.6N 102.0W...INLAND <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  94.3W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 25/0000Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$ <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECASTER STEWART

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO

<span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">001 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WTNT42 KNHC 242037 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TCDAT2 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number  13 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072020 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">500 PM AST Fri Jul 24 2020 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated Gonzalo <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">earlier this afternoon and found it to very poorly organized. The <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">aircraft even reported seeing multiple low-level swirls which is <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">surprising given the small size of the cyclone. The highest <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">flight-level winds measured by the plane were 41 kt while the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">highest believable SFMR values were right around 35 kt. Based on <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">that data, Gonzalo's intensity has been lowered to 35 kt. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Small systems like Gonzalo are notorious for quick changes in <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">structure and intensity, both up and down. Therefore, despite its <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">current downswing, it is too soon to say for sure that Gonzalo will <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">not strengthen to some degree before it reaches the southern <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Windward Islands. That said, confidence in the intensity forecast is <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">a little higher now that we have better data to base the forecast on <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">and it does not seem likely that Gonzalo will overcome the dry air <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">that is currently inhibiting its development. Given the current <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">structure of the tropical storm, the NHC intensity forecast has been <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">lowered significantly, but still allows for some slight <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">strengthening during the next 24 h. The new forecast is much <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">closer to the intensity consensus, below only the HWRF model which <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">does not appear to have a realistic initialization. Once Gonzalo <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">reaches the eastern Caribbean, weakening is anticipated and the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">cyclone is forecast to dissipate within 3 days, if not sooner. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Gonzalo has sped westward all day with a motion near 270/16 kt. The <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">guidance continues to insist that Gonzalo will gain a little <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">latitude in the near future, and a general westward to <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">west-northwestward motion is still forecast for the next few days. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">The NHC track forecast has again been shifted southward, but now <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">lies near the middle of the guidance envelope and very near the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">various track consensus aids. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Key Messages <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">1. Gonzalo is forecast to bring tropical storm conditions across <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">portions of the southern Windward Islands Saturday and Saturday <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">night. Tropical Storm Warnings are currently in effect for some of <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">the islands. Interests in the southern Windward Islands should <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">monitor the progress of Gonzalo and follow any advice given by local <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">officials. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">2. Gonzalo is expected to produce heavy rain over portions of the <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">southern Windward Islands. This could lead to life-threatening <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">flash flooding. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">INIT  24/2100Z 10.0N  55.6W   35 KT  40 MPH <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black"> 12H  25/0600Z 10.4N  58.0W   40 KT  45 MPH <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black"> 24H  25/1800Z 11.4N  61.1W   40 KT  45 MPH <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black"> 36H  26/0600Z 12.2N  64.2W   40 KT  45 MPH <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black"> 48H  26/1800Z 13.1N  67.9W   35 KT  40 MPH <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black"> 60H  27/0600Z 13.4N  71.1W   30 KT  35 MPH <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black"> 72H  27/1800Z...DISSIPATED <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$ <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">Forecaster Zelinsky <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">000 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WTNT22 KNHC 242036 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TCMAT2 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072020 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">2100 UTC FRI JUL 24 2020 <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CANCELED THE TROPICAL STORM <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* BARBADOS <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* TOBAGO <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  55.6W AT 24/2100Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  16 KT <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N  55.6W AT 24/2100Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N  54.8W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 10.4N  58.0W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 11.4N  61.1W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 12.2N  64.2W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.1N  67.9W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.4N  71.1W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT. <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N  55.6W <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 25/0000Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">  <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">$$ <span-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:black">FORECASTER ZELINSKY

Sincerely,

Bob Lain

Moran Shipping Agencies, Inc.

As Agents Only

16651 Ronan

Houston, TX 77060
Main: 281-582-9200  DO Tel: 281-582-1231  Fax: 281-582-9222  Mbl: 281-924-2146
hou@moranshipping.com   blain@moranshipping.com   www.moranshipping.com

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