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SubjectDatePriority
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/31/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/30/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/29/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/28/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/27/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/26/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/25/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/24/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/23/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/22/2015 Normal
Hurricane Danny08/21/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/21/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/20/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/19/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/18/2015 Normal
Drought Causes Draft Restrictions in the Panama Canal08/17/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/17/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/16/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/15/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/13/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/12/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/11/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/10/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/09/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/08/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/07/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/06/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/05/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/04/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/03/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/02/2015 Normal
Houston, Galveston, Texas City, & Freeport, TX - Daily Port Update 08/01/2015 Normal

 Daily Port Update

Subject:Hurricane Danny
Date:Friday, August 21, 2015
Priority:Normal
Notice:

<span-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Hurricane Danny

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""> 

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">000

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">WTNT44 KNHC 211438

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">TCDAT4

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""> 

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">HURRICANE DANNY DISCUSSION NUMBER  13

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042015

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">1100 AM AST FRI AUG 21 2015

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""> 

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Danny has continued to strengthen during the past several hours.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">The small eye has become better defined, and it is now embedded in

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">a circular central dense overcast.  In addition, the ragged outer

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">banding has increased in coverage and now surrounds the central

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">convection.  The initial intensity is increased to 90 kt in

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">agreement with satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB.  It

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">is notable that experimental multispectral METEOSAT imagery suggests

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">that low-level moisture has wrapped around the cyclone and pushed

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">the drier air farther away.  This could be helping both the

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">intensification and the increase in outer banding.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""> 

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">The initial motion is 290/9.  The subtropical ridge north of Danny

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">remains weaker than normal due to a deep-layer trough over the

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">western Atlantic.  This trough is expected to lift northward in a

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">couple of days, allowing the ridge to build westward and

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">strengthen.  This evolution should cause Danny to turn more

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">westward with some increase in forward speed.  The track guidance

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">is in good agreement with this scenario and forecasts Danny to be

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">near the Leeward Islands in about 72 hours, near Puerto Rico in

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">about 96 hours, and near Hispaniola in about 120 hours.  The new

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">forecast track, which is in best agreement with the GFS and ECMWF

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">models, lies close to the previous forecast through 96 hours and a

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">little to the north of the previous forecast at 120 hours.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New""> 

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Danny is currently in an environment of light vertical wind shear.

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">However, it is about to encounter increasing upper-level

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">southwesterly flow associated with a trough over the northeastern

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Caribbean, with the shear forecast to increase to over 20 kt by 96

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">hours.  This, combined with the abundant dry air remaining along the

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">forecast track, should cause Danny to weaken below hurricane

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">strength as it approaches the Caribbean islands.  The new intensity

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">forecast is a little stronger than the intensity consensus through

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">96 hours.  After that, it is weaker than most of the guidance due

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">to the expected interaction with land.

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">A NOAA aircraft will be conducting a research mission in and around

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Danny this afternoon, and an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">aircraft will investigate Danny Saturday afternoon.  These data

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">will provide a better assessment of the intensity and structure of

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">the hurricane.

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">INIT  21/1500Z 14.0N  48.2W   90 KT 105 MPH

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">12H  22/0000Z 14.5N  49.6W   90 KT 105 MPH

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">24H  22/1200Z 15.1N  51.7W   85 KT 100 MPH

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">36H  23/0000Z 15.5N  54.0W   75 KT  85 MPH

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">48H  23/1200Z 16.0N  56.4W   65 KT  75 MPH

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">72H  24/1200Z 17.0N  61.5W   55 KT  65 MPH

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">96H  25/1200Z 18.0N  66.0W   50 KT  60 MPH

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">120H  26/1200Z 19.5N  71.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND

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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">$$

<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">Forecaster Beven

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Notice posted on Friday, August 21, 2015

Disclaimer
For quality assurance purposes please note well that while the above information is regularly vetted for accuracy it is not intended to replace the local knowledge or expertise pertaining to port conditions of our marine operations personnel. Port précis should always be verified by contacting the corresponding marine department of a particular location for the most up-to-date information.